The biggest boom-or-bust candidates of the college basketball transfer portal

The college basketball transfer portal is littered with players who look like high-floor additions, on paper. Hunter Dickinson-to-Kansas is a slam dunk for both sides. TCU could not have dialed up a better Mike Miles Jr. replacement than Delaware transfer Jameer Nelson Jr. Something would have to go very wrong for Creighton transfer Ryan Nembhard to fail at Gonzaga.

But the margin of error is not the same for every transfer portal marriage. The “bust” label gets slapped around ad nauseam, but there are some benchmarks that are often hit when dissecting why a transfer portal divorce happened. Usually, it stems from a disconnect on what the opportunity should be.

“I learned don’t chase the name on the jersey, chase the opportunity,” Santa Clara star Brandin Podziemski said at the 2023 NBA Draft Combine. “I think that’s super important for me. Any guy in the portal should go where they are wanted because you can only transfer once to play right away. So I think that decision has to be the best decision you make and it has to be somewhere where you’re going to play.”

Get the latest football and basketball transfer portal news from 247Sports.

Here are eight boom-or-bust candidates in the 2023 transfer portal cycle:

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